On October 12th, at the 25th Ramstein meeting, Ukraine will present its “Victory Plan” to its allies. President Volodymyr Zelenskyy announced this initiative as a crucial step in the fight against Russian aggression, which has been ongoing for over a year and a half.
Zelenskyy on the Victory Plan: Clear Steps and Resolute Partners
“We will present a Victory Plan, clear, specific steps towards a just end to the war. The determination of our partners and the strengthening of Ukraine is what can stop Russian aggression,” said President Zelenskyy.
He emphasized that the Victory Plan is not about an immediate end to the war but about a strategy to strengthen Ukraine to achieve victory. “The Victory Plan is not about how the war will end tomorrow. It’s about how Ukraine will be strong to end this war,” Zelenskyy stressed.
During a meeting with representatives of the Sumy region, the president clearly outlined his position on supporting Ukraine: “Ukraine must have a strong position. If you have decided to make Ukraine strong – then let’s go. And if you can’t – then you can’t. Then there’s no need to say at every step that you want Ukraine to win. Confirm it with actions.”
Challenging Situation at the Front: Data from The Washington Post and The New York Times
Despite optimistic statements from the Ukrainian authorities, the situation at the front remains tense. The Washington Post reports that in August and September, Russian occupiers advanced at a pace not seen since the full-scale invasion in 2022.
According to the publication, the occupiers captured 511 square kilometers of territory, mainly in the area from Bakhmut to Vuhledar. The Washington Post also notes that Russian forces have a numerical advantage, which contributes to their advance. In the Vuhledar area, the ratio of artillery salvos sometimes reaches 10 to 1 in favor of Russian forces.
The New York Times also highlights the difficult situation in Donbas, where Ukraine is forced to gradually retreat. In recent months, Ukrainian forces have lost control of several strategically important cities, including Maryinka, Avdiivka, and Vuhledar.
Strategy of Attrition: Risks and Prospects
Despite the loss of territory, the Ukrainian command emphasizes that the main goal is not to hold positions but to exhaust the enemy. This strategy is causing debate among outside observers.
The New York Times questions the effectiveness of this approach, asking: how much territory will Ukraine have to cede before the Russian army exhausts its resources? This question underscores the importance of continued and increased support from Western partners.
International Support as a Key Factor
The presentation of the “Victory Plan” at the Ramstein meeting is a critical moment for securing further support from Ukraine’s allies. Zelenskyy emphasizes the importance of “the determination of our partners and the strengthening of Ukraine” as key factors in resisting Russian aggression.
The success of Ukraine’s strategy largely depends on the willingness of international partners to provide the necessary military, financial, and political support. This is especially important in the context of the current situation at the front and Ukraine’s long-term plans to restore territorial integrity.
Perspectives and Challenges
Ukraine’s Victory Plan aims not only to stop Russian aggression but also to ensure the long-term security and stability of the country. However, the implementation of this plan faces a number of challenges:
- The need to balance holding territory and exhausting the enemy.
- Ensuring continued and increased international support.
- Adapting to changing conditions on the battlefield and countering Russian tactics.
- Maintaining the morale of the Ukrainian people and armed forces in the context of a prolonged conflict.
The success of the “Victory Plan” will depend on Ukraine’s ability to effectively address these challenges, as well as the level of support from the international community.
Note: This translation aims to provide a comprehensive and accurate representation of the original Ukrainian text. For more in-depth analysis of the strategic operations of Ukraine and their impact on the course of the war, we recommend reading our article “Ukrainian army dealt a powerful blow to the Kremlin, but the West is still hesitant in its support: what does the Kursk operation mean for the war?“. This article provides additional context on the successful operations of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and the international community’s reaction in the face of ongoing Russian aggression.